Will market turmoil drive the Fed to taper the taper?

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Some market experts wouldn't be surprised to see the Federal Reserve cut rates if. The return of volatility in 2018 to our portfolios is not a new discovery.. a sudden event, like a storm, can cause disruptions that drive the markets down. the significance of the Federal Reserve System, the effects of QE3 tapering, and.

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recent days. The centrist policymaker now says it’s too early to say when the Fed will taper and that the central bank must be certain the recovery can withstand ongoing fiscal contraction. Another important consideration in the recent market dislocation is the value of primary dealer positions relative to the bond market’s total size.

Taper. No Taper. What Taper? Market Ignores Fed. Friday’s gains were the S&P 500’s first in six days despite a raft of strong economic data released earlier in the week, including better-than-expected third quarter GDP growth, November manufacturing activity and sales of new homes.

If either of the factors discussed here were to reverse – i.e., a market repricing up to an old neutral for the fed funds rate or a market-unfriendly change in the Fed’s balance sheet normalization framework – another taper tantrum could result.

Stocks were soft all day but dropped further after the Fed taper. The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.43% closed down 189 points to 15,738. In its statement, the Fed did not mention the turmoil that has hit global financial markets in the past few weeks. Read the full statement here.

That is why we expect the taper to be implemented in a stutter-step manner, stopping and starting sporadically depending on conditions in the market. Naturally, this will undermine the Fed’s attempts to send investors a clear message about the direction of policy.

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The centrist policymaker now says it’s too early to say when the Fed will taper and that the central bank must be certain the recovery can withstand ongoing fiscal contraction. Another important consideration in the recent market dislocation is the value of primary dealer positions relative to the bond market’s total size.

quantitative easing (QE) policies on flows to emerging markets.. paper suggests that perhaps countries can do little to control capital.. on EME asset prices and a panel data setting to examine the country specific variables that drive the. instability in the aftermath of the Fed's tapering – therein lies the.